Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.260226 5.915461 6.631314 7.473191 8.438373 9.512874 10.803182
2025-01-19 4.081441 4.897205 5.856303 7.073366 8.585407 10.413436 12.807884
2025-01-26 3.528082 4.444342 5.583104 7.115212 9.142036 11.758508 15.435745
2025-02-02 3.214617 4.214519 5.515578 7.353895 9.918845 13.422069 18.657991
2025-02-09 2.940613 3.987016 5.402439 7.487853 10.534679 14.906482 21.807146
2025-02-16 2.708269 3.781230 5.282786 7.578619 11.073782 16.317394 25.017827
2025-02-23 2.512866 3.601728 5.172862 7.657185 11.584425 17.723830 28.397085
2025-03-02 2.270890 3.327907 4.893173 7.440338 11.599639 18.338517 30.543669
2025-03-09 2.094170 3.133807 4.711601 7.350382 11.795461 19.250728 33.304192
2025-03-16 1.936987 2.954831 4.534898 7.245400 11.945874 20.090100 36.036206
2025-03-23 1.882032 2.930813 4.599048 7.540565 12.805861 22.260678 41.569084
2025-03-30 1.777861 2.817948 4.507360 7.557903 13.171070 23.571548 45.618017
2025-04-06 1.665109 2.684945 4.375612 7.500405 13.408724 24.702181 49.552466
2025-04-13 1.499281 2.450635 4.053526 7.071670 12.904171 24.336266 50.267460
2025-04-20 1.425884 2.368850 3.988748 7.107977 13.297135 25.805266 55.255589
2025-04-27 1.389602 2.348449 4.029771 7.345226 14.112124 28.245908 62.900309
2025-05-04 1.340709 2.301551 4.018343 7.478765 14.728800 30.344561 70.122666
2025-05-11 1.289659 2.246720 3.987326 7.569357 15.263618 32.332182 77.447035
2025-05-18 1.240876 2.192358 3.952461 7.647804 15.779452 34.344370 85.229103
2025-05-25 1.159936 2.072230 3.782670 7.431256 15.616241 34.739122 88.715652
2025-06-01 1.100307 1.988631 3.677719 7.341424 15.729200 35.811534 94.303574
2025-06-08 1.043452 1.906733 3.570297 7.236587 15.795498 36.776646 99.776486
2025-06-15 1.032991 1.914540 3.642866 7.531344 16.842347 40.383509 113.972293